6 Days

by TKOEd • Wednesday, Oct 29, 2008 • no responses - be the first

The Art of War:

Once Upon A Time: McCain on Taxes

by TKOEd • Friday, Oct 24, 2008 • no responses - be the first

Shout out to Yglesias for this one:

McCain is an unbelievable hypocrite. He decided months ago the only thing that matter was winning the presidency. There many reasons not to vote for John S. McCain but one of the biggest has got to be that he will be beholden to the right wing base if he wins. He has already mortgaged his biggest strength, was his maverick persona, in an attempt to win. Why should we believe he will buck the base if they put him in power? Even if you believe McCain was really once a man of principle there is no sight of that man anymore. He’s run a dirty campaign, full of ugly smears & outright lies. He choice for veep is not only unqualified but from also a crazy Christian. A member of the agents of intolerance he once railed against.

This video gave me a feeling of sadness. I remember thinking back in 2000 things would be ok if McCain became president. The video above is the man I remember. A man not ideologically rigid, a man not willing to win at all costs and, most importantly to me, a man of common sense. I do not think I would have not have supported McCain against Obama even if he still seemed like that man in the video but I would have respect for him. I would not have the large fear him becoming president, as I do now.

“We’re votin’ for the nigger”

by TKOEd • Friday, Oct 24, 2008 • no responses - be the first

So a canvasser goes to a woman’s door in Washington, Pennsylvania. Knocks. Woman answers. Knocker asks who she’s planning to vote for. She isn’t sure, has to ask her husband who she’s voting for. Husband is off in another room watching some game. Canvasser hears him yell back, “We’re votin’ for the n***er!”

Woman turns back to canvasser, and says brightly and matter of factly: “We’re voting for the n***er.”

I’m a little late with this one but I wanted to touch on it a bit. The above anecdote was relayed to Sean Quinn of fivethirtyeight.com two separate times, once from straight from the horses mouth. To paraphrase Sean how is McCain going to win this election if people like this are not voting for him? If Obama is acceptable to bigots, you have to assume that he’s become okay with a large swath of voters. A new WaPo/ABC News polls proves it, with 56 percent of voters saying that Obama has the kind of experience it takes to be an effective president. Now that’s not a huge number but it’s his high for the year & 4 points higher than Bush’s numbers on the eve of the 2000 election. If you consider that it’s highly unlikely that Obama will get 56% of the actual vote than that number comes off a lot better.

Kinda Sorta Conceding Colorado?

by TKOEd • Thursday, Oct 23, 2008 • 3 responses - join us

According to this report from CNN’s John King some of McCain’s top advisers are pretty much writing off Colorado. I find this very surprising. Mostly because Kerry states + Iowa, New Mexico & Colorado = Obama victory. Obama leads by double digits in Iowa. Obama hasn’t led by less than 5 points in any poll of New Mexico in over a month & is currently over 50%.

The McCain camp has pushed back on this assertion:

Two senior aides didn’t deny that Colorado appeared challenging, but pointed to the two key indicators of any campaign’s intent, time and money, to make the case that they were still holding out hope there.

“We didn’t send Gov. Palin there for no reason,” said one, a reference to the vice presidential nominee’s three rallies across the state today.

That’s not exactly a ringing endorsement of their chances in CO. Colorado’s numbers over the last month are pretty much the same as NM’s but I always thought it would be an easier win for McCain. Colorado Springs is a base of the religious right & it has a much smaller percentage of Hispanics than NM, which at 43% has the highest percentage in the country.

I have a pollster.com map of PA at the top of this post because apparently the McCain campaign seems to be betting on winning PA if they can’t win CO. Unless numerous polls are demonstrably wrong this line thinking is delusional. In my opinion if McCain does not win CO he’s fucking done sun. According to the same J. Martin post quoted above McCain’s campaign thinks they might able to take MN & WI to snatch victory from the jaws of defeat. MN & WI are polling much closer than PA but they are both polling better for Obama then CO or NM. I’ll let you come to your own conclusion on that scenario.

McCain’s camp is grasping at straws. Short of a big unforeseen event happening that overwhelmingly favors him, McCain will lose. Obama isn’t even going to campaign in any Kerry states the rest of the way:

He and his aides appear so confident of his prospects that apart from a brief stop in Madison, Wis., next Thursday, Obama currently has no plans during the next 10 days to return to Pennsylvania, Minnesota, New Hampshire or any other state that voted for John Kerry in 2004.

That tells you all you need to know about what the Obama camp thinks about their chances in PA, MN & WI (The WI event was canceled so Barack could go visit his ailing grandmother). It’s all offense from here on out. Now mind you Barack doesn’t even need to win CO & NM to win the election. Kerry states + VA is another path to victory for Obama. I think most likely this will ebd up being a fairly large Obama win. It ain’t over ’til it’s over but with less than 10 days to go:

Update 10/27 : Obama is in PA today, so he hasn’t stopped campaigning in all Kerry states.

My Fellow Prisoners?

by TKOEd • Wednesday, Oct 8, 2008 • no responses - be the first

This makes me wonder what is going on in that guy’s head. This kind of stuff makes me very nervous.

hat tip to jedreport